Strengthening scenario-planning and financial resilience for Falvey Insurance Group
As a leading provider of supply chain and specialty insurance, Falvey Insurance Group operates in regions where geopolitical volatility can disrupt trade routes, drive claim activity, and challenge the precision of underwriting and risk modeling.
To manage these dynamics, Falvey uses ACLED’s conflict data to monitor evolving risks and support strategic decision-making.
Challenge
Assessing the implications of conflict dynamics — from localized unrest affecting supply chains to broader regional instability impacting trade routes — is central to protecting insured assets and maintaining the accuracy of risk assessments. Geopolitical disruptions can increase the likelihood of claims, alter cargo and transportation patterns, and introduce volatility into markets that influence insurance exposure. To price policies effectively and ensure sound underwriting, Falvey must translate complex, fast-moving conflict developments into measurable financial risk indicators. Yet maintaining both detailed, on-the-ground visibility and a comprehensive global perspective presents an ongoing challenge for risk intelligence and analysis teams tasked with supporting these decisions.
Solution
Falvey integrates ACLED’s detailed conflict data and robust methodology into its geopolitical risk assessment framework to achieve a balance between precision and breadth. The interactive Conflict Index dashboard allows Falvey analysts to evaluate multiple geographies simultaneously across key conflict dimensions.
ACLED’s granular event data and visualization platforms support Falvey in synthesizing complex information efficiently — enabling faster, evidence-based evaluations of changing risk landscapes. The high-resolution, geolocated data from ACLED directly improve the precision of Falvey’s risk models. This enhanced resolution has allowed analysts to refine confidence intervals in scenario simulations, resulting in more reliable assessments of potential financial exposure.
"ACLED provides Falvey with the data that enables both the granularity of boots-on-the-ground insight and the resolution to zoom out and survey our analysis from a clear global perspective."
Steph Tulley, director of risk intelligence & analytics at Falvey Insurance Group
Why does Falvey choose ACLED data?
- ACLED’s efficient and systematic data collection process is led by researchers who code information based on local sources, capturing around 375,000 events per year.
- The dataset provides geolocated data on political disruptions, violence, and armed conflict in every country.
- The availability of a user-friendly API allows for automated downloads to directly feed dashboards.
- ACLED offers tailored training sessions and consultations by its experts and data scientists.
Impact
Incorporating ACLED data into its risk analysis has significantly enhanced Falvey’s ability to anticipate and quantify geopolitical risk. By identifying emerging conflict risks earlier, Falvey is able to reduce exposure, assess potential supply chain impacts, and act on emerging geopolitical risk 30% faster.
The integration of ACLED data also allows for a more efficient allocation of analytical resources, saving time previously spent on data-gathering and validation. It enhances the accuracy of pricing and strengthens risk-adjusted returns. These insights further advance strategic forecasting capabilities, enhance probabilistic modeling, and enable proactive scenario-planning for resilient portfolio management.
By leveraging ACLED’s high-quality conflict data, Falvey, and organizations like it, can strengthen their global risk intelligence processes, translating complex geopolitical dynamics into actionable insights that provide both financial and strategic advantage.
What is your key challenge?
Speak to one of our specialists and find out how ACLED can support your data needs.