Despite impacts on supply chains, the SAF continues its air campaign to weaken the RSF in Darfur ahead of expected ground offensives in August.
Despite impacts on supply chains, the SAF continues its air campaign to weaken the RSF in Darfur ahead of expected ground offensives in August.
Without two commanders of its key Arab alliances, the RSF faces deepening fractures and an emboldened Sudanese army.
In July, violence from Sudan’s war spilled into a bordering prefecture in CAR, and power struggles in the South Tigray zone of Ethiopia and the Hiiraan region of Somalia continued to affect security in the region.
In May 2025, deadly separatist violence flared up in Cabinda, Angola; violence intensified in Tripoli after the death of the SSA commander; and JNIM captured provincial capitals in a step-change regional offensive in the Sahel.
This report examines the important shifts leading to SAF’s advances, and the impact this new phase of war will have on the dynamic of the conflict.
Defection and violence against civilians in Sudan's al-Jazirah state.
Sudan's SAF offensive in Khartoum marks significant territorial gains over RSF, shifting the conflict dynamics.
Summary of artillery shelling and airstrikes surge in Sudan, political violence, and escalating conflict situations during August–September 2024.
Watch the recoded webinar examining the important shifts leading to SAF’s advances, and the impact this new phase of war will have on the dynamic of the conflict.