Has conflict resumed between the Ethiopian federal government and the TPLF?
Dr Jalale Getachew Birru, East Africa Senior Analyst at ACLED, comments on renewed TDF-government clashes and shifting alliances across Ethiopia
All analysis on Ethiopia
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Africa Overview: July 2026
The extension of the Somali president’s term triggered fighting in Mogadishu, and jihadist violence in Niger, Burkina Faso, and Nigeria escalated.
Did Ethiopia’s elections worsen existing conflicts?
Ethiopia's election was never going to change the government. Dr Jalale Getachew Birru explains how it became a stress multiplier.
Africa Overview: June 2026
The ADF ramped up violence in Ituri amid the Ebola outbreak, and JNIM launched a deadly campaign against Dozo militias in Mali.
The TPLF’s move to fully control Tigray poses a growing and expanding threat in the Horn of Africa
The TPLF’s reinstatement of the 2020 regional government threatens the fragile peace in Tigray but also risks triggering another full-blown battle in the region.
Africa Overview: May 2026
The ADF shifted its attention to the northern DRC, tensions simmer in Ethiopia amid clashes in the Amhara region, and unprecedented offensives rocked Mali.
Jalale Getachew Birru on Sudan’s recall of its ambassador to Ethiopia
ACLED’s East Africa Senior Analyst Dr.des. Jalale Getachew Birru comments on the diplomatic crisis between Sudan and Ethiopia following accusations over alleged cross-border involvement.
60 days of the Iran war — 6 conflicts you didn’t see
While global attention was fixed on Iran, violence, unrest, and instability continued to escalate elsewhere — largely out of view.
Africa: Non-state armed groups are the main drivers of violence targeting local officials
The violence was concentrated in the east and west of the continent. Nigeria, Ethiopia, and Cameroon saw an increase in 2025.
Jalale Getachew Birru on the new wave of political instability within Tigray
ACLED’s East Africa Senior Analyst Dr.des. Jalale Getachew Birru comments on how a new internal fracture within the TPLF is catalyzing a new wave of political instability within Tigray