Hezbollah’s shift to attrition offers Iran a lasting tool to pressure Israel and the US
The Lebanese group’s capacity is depleted, but it can still raise the cost of war for Israel.
All analysis on Iran
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The Gulf's critical infrastructure presents a lasting vulnerability for Iran to exploit
Since the conflict broke out in February, Iran has targeted non-military infrastructure in the Gulf states, posing an ongoing threat to the region’s stability.
Why would Ukraine attack an Iranian tanker?
ACLED’s Olha Polishchuk comments on what this weekends strikes signal about Kyiv’s expanding campaign.
Why does the Iran conflict keep escalating?
Prof. Clionadh Raleigh, ACLED founder and CEO, comments on Iran’s strategy of continued escalation and why the current cycle could drag on indefinitely.
Webinar | Israel and the Gulf: How has the war affected regional security?
Watch the recorded conversation about how the Iran war has reshaped Israeli and Gulf threat perceptions, what the MoU could mean for regional security in the months ahead, etc.
Has conflict strengthened Iran's hardliners?
ACLED’s Clionadh Raleigh comments on Iran’s leadership and the funeral of Ali Khamenei
Middle East Overview: July 2026
Violence declined in Lebanon and Gaza in June, but Israeli military pressure persisted, while the US-Iran MoU opened a fragile negotiation period in which disputes over implementation played out most clearly in the Strait of Hormuz.
Is the Strait of Hormuz Slipping Out of Iran’s Control?
As regional neighbors pivot to a "southern strategy," Tehran faces a narrowing path to maintaining its maritime influence.
What will the US-Iran deal really change?
Last week’s memorandum may have reopened diplomacy for Iran and the US, but with the Strait closed again and reports of 'encouraging progress' today, the question is who still holds the cards?
Washington is betting on an Islamic Republic that doesn’t exist
In its latest negotiations with Iran, the US is likely overestimating the leverage it can gain through economic incentives.