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Q&A: What Do the Conflict Data Say About Zimbabwe’s Elections?

25 August 2023

Elections for a new president in Zimbabwe had chaotic moments and were heavily biased in favor of incumbent Emmerson Mnangagwa and his ruling ZANU-PF party. But in this Q&A, ACLED President Clionadh Raleigh argues that, contrary to outside impressions, the data point to a largely peaceful situation. Nevertheless, she says, the 80-year-old Mnangagwa’s near-certain win will not save this “competitive autocracy” from looming, inner-party struggles for power.

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Political Succession and Intra-Party Divisions: Examining the Potential for Violence in Zimbabwe’s 2023 Elections

17 August 2023

Our Election Watch report analyzes the political landscape in Zimbabwe and assesses the likelihood of increased political violence ahead of the vote.

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The Fangs Beneath the Facade: Repression under Zimbabwe’s New Regime

29 January 2019

ACLED Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik surveys the new regime’s crackdown on unrest in Zimbabwe. © 2019 Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). All rights reserved.

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Regional Overview – Africa 30 June 2018

31 July 2018

The most notable trend in Africa on the week of July 22nd was the rise in violence involving Islamist militants across a number of countries. In Somalia, Al Shabaab carried out multiple operations across southern regions. The group claimed responsibility for several IED and grenade explosions targeting government officials and troops in Mogadishu, Baidoa, Belet…

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Radar-Zimbabwe Pre-Election Report 2018

30 July 2018

Zimbabweans go to the polls on 30 July to select the president, members of parliament, and local government representatives. This election season is shaped by several marked differences from previous contests. Many of the parliamentary and council candidates are not party incumbents, and there are many independent candidates. Both of the main parties competing are…

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Regional Overview – Africa 23 June 2018

24 July 2018

Key developments in Africa in the week of July 15th include increased attacks by Boko Haram in several states surrounding Nigeria, and targeted political violence in Zimbabwe and Burundi. Regular fighting also occurred in Somalia, Mali, CAR and DRC, while riots and protests dominated the political landscapes in Ghana, Kenya and North Africa. In Chad,…

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Regional Overview – Africa 17 July 2018

17 July 2018

On the week of July 8th Africa was marked by several important attacks and developments. In Nigeria, nearly one hundred people reportedly died in large-scale attacks launched by Middle Belt, Fulani militiamen in Adamawa and Tabara states over July 9-10th. Recent raids by the various Fulani militants have been increasingly violent and spread out, suggesting…

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Regional Overview – Africa 9 July 2018

10 July 2018

Key political violence highlights from the first week of July 2018 in Africa include the cross-border incidents between Uganda and the DRC, Ethiopia and Sudan, and Burundi and Rwanda; the targeting of French officials and troops in Cameroon and Mali; and the signs of political tensions in Algeria and Ivory Coast. There were notable episodes…

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Regional Overview – Africa 02 July 2018

3 July 2018

Important developments in Africa in the week of June 24th included the Fulani violence in Nigeria and Benin; the high militant activity in Cameroon, Egypt and Mali; the tensions in CAR’s Nana-Gribizi prefecture; and the continued violence in South Sudan tainting the progress made simultaneously at the negotiations’ table. Relevant protests and riots also occurred…

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Regional Overview – Africa 25 June 2018

26 June 2018

There were several critical developments in Africa in the week of June 17th. Key among them were the two small bomb attacks on the leaders of Ethiopia and Zimbabwe on June 23rd at political rallies in Addis Ababa and Bulawayo, respectively. The explosions left two people killed in both Ethiopia and in Zimbabwe. Several key…

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