The Battlefront of Taiz

The highest number of fatalities in Yemen have occurred in Taiz governorate, with nearly twice as many fatalities reported within its borders relative to any other governorate in the country. Since January 1, 2017, ACLED has recorded over 500 civilian fatalities (with the true number of civilian fatalities possibly higher as a result of collateral damage), the highest estimate among all Yemeni governorates.…

Regional Overview – Middle East 26 February 2018

While there was an increase in the number of reported events in several countries in the Middle East last week, including in Palestine, Syria, and Turkey, this was contrasted by a slight decrease in the number of political violence and protest events recorded across much of the rest of the region.…

Islamic State in Afghanistan

Islamic State’s “Khorasan Branch” continues to have a significant presence in Afghanistan after appearing for the first time in 2014. The group has consolidated its position in the southeastern quadrant of Afghanistan, centered around its “home base” of Nangarhar Province in the time period from early 2017 to late 2017 / early 2018.…

Tensions Flare in the DR-Congo

In DR-Congo, signs of a perfect storm are emerging: local conflict is flaring in the North East, continued demonstrations are occuring in urban areas, state repression of protesters is leading to increased fatalities, new militia actors and coalition are forming and joining with typical violence agents, international security groups are being targeted by rebel organizations with lethally disruptive intentions, and diplomatic tensions are ongoing.…

Will the Ethiopian government be open to democratic reforms despite this week’s emergency declaration?

Signs of a political thaw in Ethiopia have taken a sharp reversal. Despite the government’s amnesty of 6,000 political prisoners in January, protests against the Tigray-led regime in the Oromio Region have spread into the Amhara and Southern Nations regions (Financial Times, 17 February 2018) (see Figure 1).…