What does the return of Juan Orlando Hernández mean for Honduras?
ACLED's Latin America Senior Analyst, Tiziano Breda, discusses the return of Honduras' former president and convicted drug trafficker.
Honduras
ACLED's latest analysis on Honduras.
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Latin America and the Caribbean Overview: June 2026
Deadly clashes broke out ahead of the presidential elections in Colombia, demonstrations over worsening humanitarian conditions took place in Cuba, and organized crime violence escalated in Honduras.
The US’ Donroe Doctrine is reshaping conflicts in Latin America and the Caribbean
Trump's efforts to influence governments in the region in pursuit of his security strategy are effective, but unlikely to substantially curb organized crime and drug trafficking.
Latin America and the Caribbean Overview: May 2026
Violence surged in parts of Colombia, Guatemala, Honduras, and Haiti, while concerns loom over possible electoral violence in Peru.
Latin America and the Caribbean Overview: January 2026
The ELN in Colombia reacted to Trump’s threats with an armed strike, the turf war intensified between rival gangs in Ecuador’s Machala prison, and violence escalated in Sinaloa, Mexico.
US hard power turns to Latin America and the Caribbean
Militarized responses to organized crime are likely to spread further as governments adopt tough-on-crime measures and the US exerts more pressure.
Violence has gone down during Xiomara Castro’s term, but has security improved in Honduras?
Gangs have resorted less to public displays of violence during the state of exception, but their presence in urban areas has not been dented, while organized crime groups have expanded their activities in rural areas.
La violencia ha disminuido durante el mandato de Xiomara Castro, pero ¿ha mejorado la seguridad en Honduras?
Las pandillas recurrieron menos a las manifestaciones públicas de violencia durante el estado de excepción, pero su presencia en las zonas urbanas no se vio mermada, mientras que los grupos del crimen organizado ampliaron sus actividades en las zonas rurales.
Latin America and the Caribbean Overview: November 2025
An operation against the CV gang killed at least 121 people in Rio de Janeiro, gangs expanded across multiple areas in Artibonite, Haiti, and US strikes on vessels in the Pacific fueled diplomatic tensions.
Fighting gangs under the state of exception in Honduras
A year since the implementation of the state of exception, its ability to curtail violence is unclear as criminal groups expand their areas of control and risks persist for civilians.