Mexico
Mexico’s security landscape is characterized by violent disputes between criminal groups fighting for control over illicit economies. The ensuing political violence, and the burden this places on the civilian population, has resulted in Mexico continually ranking amongst the world’s most extreme conflicts according to the ACLED Conflict Index.
Cartel activity in Mexico
The current security situation in Mexico can be traced back to the 1980s, when criminal groups dedicated to smuggling drugs to the United States started expanding their reach to benefit from the re-orientation of Colombia’s drug trafficking routes from the Caribbean to Mexico. Up until the late 1990s, four main cartels controlled drug trafficking zones in the country, but with time, competition over these illicit economies in the country has shifted, fragmenting Mexico’s gang landscape. Intra- and inter-cartel struggles and attempts by governments to dismantle criminal leaders have led to hundreds of groups vying for control, sometimes forming volatile and shifting alliances. These groups’ economic activities have diversified to include activities like extortion, oil theft, illegal mining, timber contraband, kidnapping and forced disappearances, and human trafficking. This is often carried out in collusion with co-opted or corrupt officials, which has led to an erosion of trust in Mexico’s judicial and executive institutions.
Despite attempts by successive governments to clamp down on the violence fuelled by illicit economies, gangs and cartels continue to pose the greatest threat to public safety and security. Mexico also featured prominently in ACLED’s special series of violence targeting local officials because political figures are often targeted by these criminal groups, particularly around elections, when these groups try to influence the outcome.
The Jalisco New Generation Cartel and the Sinaloa Cartel
The Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) and the Sinaloa Cartel are two of Mexico’s most powerful criminal organizations, maintaining extensive territorial footprints across multiple states. Although each group operates under a distinct organizational model, both rely on strategic alliances to expand their territorial control and diversify their criminal activities. Their reach extends well beyond Mexico’s borders, with transnational operations that amplify the impact of their activities across multiple continents.
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ACLED’s annual report on Violence Targeting Local Officials provides a breakdown of all reported violence against local administrators worldwide.
This Special Election Series explores the drivers of violence targeting political figures in Mexico at the subnational levels during the 2024 electoral cycle.
The rift in the Sinaloa Cartel has resulted in a realignment of criminal groups and openings for new conflicts in contested territories that will affect Mexico's criminal dynamics.
Militarized responses to organized crime are likely to spread further as governments adopt tough-on-crime measures and the US exerts more pressure.
Latin America and the Caribbean Overview: January 2026
The ELN in Colombia reacted to Trump’s threats with an armed strike, the turf war intensified between rival gangs in Ecuador’s Machala prison, and violence escalated in Sinaloa, Mexico.
US hard power turns to Latin America and the Caribbean
Militarized responses to organized crime are likely to spread further as governments adopt tough-on-crime measures and the US exerts more pressure.
Latin America and the Caribbean Overview: December 2025
Anti-gang operations in Haiti escalated around Port-au-Prince, the killing of a mayor in Mexico triggered protests, and the Trump administration doubled down its pressure on Maduro.
Mexico 2024: Special Election Series
This Special Election Series explores the drivers of violence targeting political figures in Mexico at the subnational levels during the 2024 electoral cycle.
Webinar | How the Sinaloa Cartel rift is redrawing Mexico’s criminal map
Watch the recorded webinar examining how the fallout of the Sinaloa Cartel dispute has set off a broader realignment of criminal groups in Mexico and opened up opportunities for new conflicts in contested territories.
How the Sinaloa Cartel rift is redrawing Mexico’s criminal map
The rift in the Sinaloa Cartel has resulted in a realignment of criminal groups and openings for new conflicts in contested territories that will affect Mexico's criminal dynamics.
Mexico: ACLED data shows Trump’s announcements could actually increase violence in Mexico — Expert Comment
Sandra Pellegrini, ACLED's Senior Latin America Analyst, weighs in on Trump's Mexico policies.
Mexico’s new administration braces for shifting battle lines in the country’s gang wars
President Claudia Sheinbaum, who took office in October 2024, faces a reshuffling gang landscape and potentially heightened violence in the coming year.
Mexico: 2024 Conflict Index Infographic
Snapshot of political violence data and events in Mexico from 1 December 2023 to 29 November 2024.
Mexico: Mid-year metrics 2024
ACLED provides a 2024 mid-year infographic on conflicts in Mexico.