Is the new conflict between TPLF and the Ethiopian government mimicking the scale of the 2020-2022 war?

Jalale Getachew Birru, Senior Analyst for East Africa at ACLED said, 

“Marking one month since the resumption of hostilities between the Ethiopian government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), the conflict's current trajectory shows a more localized footprint than the devastating, widespread clashes observed in 2020-2022, which affected multiple regions. 

“While this new round of violence – sparked on 1 August – lacks the widespread daily intensity of the previous war, targeted armed clashes and aerial campaigns continue to kill people.  (see map below).

“The latest violent phase  erupted when the Tigray Defense Forces (TDF), led by the TPLF, clashed with the Ethiopian National Defense Forces (ENDF), Tekeze Zeb, and the Amhara regional anti-riot police near the Ethiopia-Sudan border in Shererina, and shells fell in Umm Barakit (Bereket) and al-Gadima in al-Fashaga, Sudan. The ENDF took control of the area after a fight involving heavy artillery and drones.

“Throughout August, violence has clustered primarily around two distinct areas of engagement: border clashes and targeted aerial interdictions. ACLED data show that drone strikes have been concentrated in Tigray’s capital, Mekelle (see map below).