Cohesion among the political opposition will determine how political parties mobilize goons, how vigilante mobs respond, and the effect on businesses and civilians.
JNIM has been increasing its attacks on mining operations along the Mali-Guinea border, which has brought militant activity closer to Guinea’s gold-producing mines.
Senegal faces no immediate threat from JNIM, but the group’s entrenchment in bordering Mali gives it access to cross-border communities, trade, and gold mining.
Houthi gains in Yemen and renewed attacks targeting Saudi Arabia raised risks to Red Sea shipping, energy infrastructure, and oil markets.
Stream our latest episode: ‘Saudi Arabia under attack & Ethiopia on brink of war | Red Sea crisis explained.'
Dr Jalale Getachew Birru, East Africa Senior Analyst at ACLED, examines how Ethiopia’s establishment of a new caretaker administration in Tigray marks a further breakdown of the Pretoria peace agreement, and what it means for the region’s political stability amid renewed fighting.
John Ngono comments on the potential for a broader political opposition movement, the challenges of securing additional support, and the prospects for further military escalation in eastern DRC.
Sherwan Hindreen Ali comments on the mixed results of the government’s offensive against the Houthis, the military imbalance between the two sides, and the growing risk of a prolonged conflict.
Explore our data and monitoring tools, read our analysis reports, and meet our regional experts.
The ACLED Conflict Index is a global assessment of how and where conflicts in every country and territory in the world vary according to four indicators — deadliness, danger to civilians, geographic diffusion, and the number of armed groups.
ACLED's Election Watch monitors election violence worldwide.
ACLED CEO Prof. Clionadh Raleigh's monthly observations on the state of the world.
ACLED’s annual report on Violence Targeting Local Officials provides a breakdown of all reported violence against local administrators worldwide.
