Introducing ACLED Trends

ACLED Trends is a forward-looking conflict intelligence platform allowing decision-makers to anticipate where violence, unrest, and instability are most likely to escalate - before it happens. It helps organizations protect employees, secure assets, and adapt operations as risk rises or falls across locations.

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Why ACLED Trends?

Today’s risk environment demands clarity, speed, and foresight. ACLED Trends is designed for people who need to quickly understand how conflict is evolving and what may come next.

• Build and map your own future risk forecasts.
• Shows you global events filtered to the risks you care about.
• Delivers highly accurate and reliable scenario projections.
• Zoom in from global events to local events 

What can you use ACLED Trends for?

• Prepare for worst-case scenarios
  Identify countries or (largest sub-national) regions where worst-case projections show significantly higher conflict levels than expected trends - signaling potential flashpoints that warrant contingency planning.
• Protect investments and operations by planning early
  Monitor projected shifts in violent conflict & protest intensity to assess where operating environments may deteriorate or stabilize over the coming months.
• Detect protest and unrest risks affecting performance
  Detect spikes in riots and demonstrations that can disrupt business operations, logistics, or staff safety.
• Plan evidence
  Use clear trend and scenario visuals to brief executives, boards, or clients on where conflict risk is increasing, decreasing, or diverging from expectations.

What sets ACLED Trends apart?

• ACLED Trends is built using the world’s most trusted and detailed independent, impartial real-time data and analysis on political violence and conflict.
• We’re powered by over 300 independent locally based researchers speaking over 100 languages. 
• ACLED Trends converts 1.3 million data points into an intuitive forecast on violent conflict.
• All  our data is verified by ACLED’s trusted independent experts.
• ACLED Trends captures early signals of conflict - even low-intensity incidents without fatalities - providing a more complete and timely picture of emerging risks.
• ACLED’s transparent rigorous methodology is trusted by major press, policy makers, humanitarian organisations, and private sector partners. Find out more.