Media Citation
How Tigray's renewed fighting could spread in Horn of Africa | DW
Source: DW | 25 September 2026
[...] Jalale Getachew Birru, a senior analyst for East Africa at the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), also stressed that the conflict cannot be viewed in isolation. ACLED is an independent conflict-monitoring and research organization that collects and analyzes data on political violence and armed conflict around the world.
“The Ethiopia[n] case is not [an] isolated case for the Horn of Africa. It involves the neighboring countries as well, and it's being displayed across the Horn of Africa countries," Birru told DW.
Her assessment points to a broader regional dynamic: Ethiopia's conflict is unfolding alongside shifting alliances and competing interests in neighboring Sudan and Somalia. ACLED's current analysis likewise places the renewed Tigray conflict within a wider pattern of instability across the Horn of Africa.
The risk is not based on a single regional alliance. It comes from the fact that several conflicts are already geographically and politically connected, Birru noted. [...]
