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Oil Surges Most Since 2020, Reflecting Bet That Strait Won’t Go Back to Normal | Wall Street Journal

14 July 2026

Source: Wall Street Journal | 14 July 2026

[...] This week’s military action is part of a longer cycle of escalation and retaliation, said Clionadh Raleigh, founder and chief executive of Acled, a conflict monitoring group.


“Unless there is some sort of major knockout—which the U.S. has so far been unable to produce—I struggle to see a negotiated solution,” Raleigh said. “Even if attacks subside temporarily, the underlying dispute over the strait will remain, making future flare-ups highly likely.” [...]

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