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CAST monthly results
This data file contains forecasts for the next 6 months produced by ACLED CAST and the observed number of events for the periods in the past.
The ACLED Conflict Alert System (CAST) is a global prediction tool that forecasts the number of political violence events that will occur in each upcoming rolling-four-week period, for the next six periods, in every country around the world
This data file contains forecasts for the next 6 months produced by ACLED CAST and the observed number of events for the periods in the past.
A selection of key monthly results from the Conflict Alert System (CAST) covering December 2025