The ELN in Colombia reacted to Trump’s threats with an armed strike, the turf war intensified between rival gangs in Ecuador’s Machala prison, and violence escalated in Sinaloa, Mexico.
Tiziano Breda is a Latin America & the Caribbean Senior Analyst at ACLED and has been with the organization since January 2024. In this role, he contributes to the analysis of conflict, demonstration, and political violence patterns in Latin America. Prior to joining ACLED, he spent over seven years carrying out research on Latin American politics and security for the International Crisis Group and IAI, five of which living in Colombia and Guatemala. Tiziano holds a Bachelor of Arts in Sociology from the University of Padua and a Master’s Degree in International Relations from the University of Bolonia, Campus Forlì, enriched by conflict resolution studies at the Johns Hopkins University (SAIS) and the Universidad Nacional de Colombia.
Spoken languages: Italian, English and Spanish Timezone: Central European Time - CET
The ELN in Colombia reacted to Trump’s threats with an armed strike, the turf war intensified between rival gangs in Ecuador’s Machala prison, and violence escalated in Sinaloa, Mexico.
Interim President Delcy Rodríguez faces risks of further US actions, social unrest from a galvanized opposition movement, internal power struggles, and resistance from armed groups not under government control.
ACLED Senior analyst Tiziano Breda comments on the US military operation in Venezuela.
Spreading criminal activity, developments in neighboring Colombia, and US attention on drug trafficking will affect Noboa’s ability to curb rising violence.
Anti-gang operations in Haiti escalated around Port-au-Prince, the killing of a mayor in Mexico triggered protests, and the Trump administration doubled down its pressure on Maduro.
Gangs have resorted less to public displays of violence during the state of exception, but their presence in urban areas has not been dented, while organized crime groups have expanded their activities in rural areas.
An operation against the CV gang killed at least 121 people in Rio de Janeiro, gangs expanded across multiple areas in Artibonite, Haiti, and US strikes on vessels in the Pacific fueled diplomatic tensions.
In July, the Los Choneros leader’s arrest in Manabí, Ecuador, triggered a deadly dispute, the government in Trinidad and Tobago imposed a new state of emergency, and artisanal miners in Peru mobilized to demand formalization.
Join ACLED for a live conversation with regional experts as they unpack the implications of US actions and what this means for conflict dynamics across the region. This event will be held in Spanish, with live English interpretation available. Register now!
Watch the recorded webinar for a deep dive on the new data with Senior Methodology Officer, Rose Davies, the findings of our analysis with Tiziano Breda, expert insights from the Director of the Ecuadorian Observatory of Organized Crime, Renato Rivera, and moderated by ACLED Senior Analyst for Latin America & the Caribbean, Sandra Pellegrini.