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Beyond the Blue Wall: Exploring the Risks of Political Unrest in the 2024 Presidential Election

17 April 2024

Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are vital swing states for securing the presidency in the 2024 election. These three states, however, also have a history of extremist mobilization and recent protest movements, factors that may stoke risks of election-related violence.

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Will Past US Election Turbulence Strike Again in 2024?

14 March 2024

What does political violence in the US look like, and how is ACLED preparing to monitor trends during the 2024 election cycle?

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Conflict Watchlist 2024 | United States: Intensifying Polarization and the Looming Presidential Election

17 January 2024

Current turbulence in the US threatens to reinvigorate smoldering domestic divides in the lead-up to the elections. A contentious campaign period may lead to intimidation and violence at polling places, as well as renewed mobilization by opportunistic far-right groups around claims of voter fraud, anti-LGBTQ+ legislation, and access to abortion.

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Riding the Tide: The Shifting Identity of the Proud Boys Since the Capitol Riot

14 December 2023

In this update to our 2021 actor profile on the Proud Boys, we analyze ACLED data on key developments in the Proud Boy’s activity from 2021 through 2023, identifying new drivers of mobilization across the country.

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ACLED Conflict Severity Index: January 2023

19 January 2023

Drawing on the latest ACLED data, the Conflict Severity Index assesses four key indicators to identify the most severe forms of conflict, providing new insights into how and where severe conflicts occur.

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From the Capitol Riot to the Midterms: Shifts in American Far-Right Mobilization Between 2021 and 2022

6 December 2022

Analysis of evolving trends in far-right activity in the United States around the 2022 midterm elections.

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