Ukraine Conflict Monitor
Update
Ukraine war situation update: 28 June – 4 July 2025
An update on the Ukraine war situation from 28 June to 4 July 2025, includes key events and trends.
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1,488 political violence events 3% decrease compared to last week |
134 incidents of violence targeting civilians 21% increase compared to last week |
At least 53 fatalities from civilian targeting 39% decrease compared to last week |
Key events
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1 Jul.
Dnipropetrovsk – Russian missiles kill three commanding officers of a Ukrainian brigade and an unspecified number of soldiers in Huliaipole
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3 Jul.
Poltava – Russian drones hit a military recruitment center in Poltava city, killing two people and wounding 59
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3 Jul.
Luhansk – Explosives planted by Ukraine’s security service kill a former pro-Russian mayor of Luhansk city
Key trends
- In the Donetsk region, Russian forces seized six settlements — three along the boundary with the Dnipropetrovsk region, two northeast of Pokrovsk, and one east of Kostiantynivka.
- Russian forces captured two villages close to the Russian border east and northeast of Velykyi Burluk in the Kharkiv region and another village near the international border in the Sumy region.
- ACLED records at least 35 Russian long-range missile and drone strikes, including in the western regions of Ivano-Frankivsk, Khmelnytskyi, Lviv, and Ternopil.
- Russian shelling, missiles, aerial bombs, and drones killed at least 42 civilians in the Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Mykolaiv, Odesa, and Zaporizhia regions, as well as in the city of Kyiv. Meanwhile, Ukrainian shelling, drones, and missiles reportedly killed at least eight civilians in the occupied parts of the Donetsk, Luhansk, and Kherson regions.
Spotlight: A record-high barrage of drones and missiles hits Ukraine
Overnight on 3 and 4 July, Russian forces launched 539 drones, including decoy drones, and 11 missiles at Ukraine, breaking another record in the number of drones launched during a single coordinated attack since the start of the full-scale invasion.1 Ukrainian forces intercepted 478 of the projectiles.2 The attack came shortly after yet another call between United States President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin. It mainly focused on the capital city of Kyiv, where it lasted around 13 hours,3 killing three civilians and wounding over 30 others. The attack damaged infrastructure in at least five of Kyiv’s 10 boroughs, including apartment buildings, railway infrastructure, schools, a medical facility, and the Embassy of Poland in Kyiv’s historical city center.
The attack came only several days after the previous record-breaking wave of Russian drones and missiles. On 29 June, Russia launched 477 drones and 60 missiles at Ukraine, 475 of which were intercepted.4 The attack and fallen debris struck over a dozen locations across the central and western regions of Ukraine, injuring civilians and damaging residential buildings, educational facilities, a hospital, and other civilian infrastructure. The number of drones Russia has launched against Ukraine has been on the rise this year. Russia launched over 5,000 drones in June — twice that of the highest recorded number in 2023.
Explore the ACLED Conflict Exposure tool to assess the numbers of people affected by armed violence, disaggregated by locations, time period, and actors involved.
