Ukraine Conflict Monitor
Update
Ukraine War Situation Update: 9 - 15 November 2024
Overview of recent political violence events and key developments in Ukraine amid increasing Russian drone attacks.
- 1,061 political violence events - >1% increase compared to last week
- 51 incidents of violence targeted at civilians - 15% decrease compared to last week
- At least 23 fatalities from civilian targeting - 45% decrease compared to last week
Key trends
- In the Donetsk region, Russian forces occupied two settlements near Kurakhove and two others along the Zaporizhia boundary in the direction of Velyka Novosilka. In Kharkiv, along the Luhansk administrative boundary, Russian forces entered the outskirts of Kupiansk and gained ground west of Svatove.
- ACLED records 14 Russian long-range missile and drone strikes, with half of them occurring in the increasingly targeted Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions. Ukrainian forces also intercepted strikes in at least 41 further instances, including over the western regions of Khmelnytskyi, Ternopil, and Vinnytsia.
- Russian forces killed at least 23 civilians across Ukraine in remote and direct attacks.
Key events
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11 Nov.
Donetsk – Ukrainian forces blow up the Ternivska dam near Kurakhove to slow further Russian advances
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11 Nov.
Dnipropetrovsk – A Russian ballistic missile hits a residential area of Kryvyi Rih, killing a woman and her three daughters
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11 Nov.
Zaporizhia – Russian guided aerial bombs kill one civilian and injure 23 others in Zaporizhia city
Spotlight: Russian drones overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses
Russian forces are increasing their use of drones against Ukraine and at the same time diversifying the manners in which they are deployed, further straining its air defenses. On 11 November, as part of combined strikes on eastern and southern Ukraine, Russian drones destroyed a residential building and damaged another in Mykolaiv city, killing five civilians and wounding 22 others. The head of the Mykolaiv military administration claimed that the Russian forces used thermobaric charges in one of the drones, inflicting severe damage.1 Reports of Ukrainian forces using thermobaric drones on the battlefield first appeared in September, followed by first sightings of Russian drones upgraded with the technology in October.2 Ukrainian forces are also facing the growing number of Russian decoy drones lacking explosive charges,3 which they attempt to intercept by expanding the number of mobile air defense groups.4 Since August, ACLED records escalating Russian drone attacks on Ukraine. The number of events nearly doubled in October compared with July, while daily batches of drones sent to targets in Ukraine increased from several dozen to over a hundred.
Explore the ACLED Conflict Exposure tool to assess the numbers of people affected by armed violence, disaggregated by locations, time period, and actors involved.
