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Webinar | Russia's shadow fleet: Sanctions evasion meets hybrid warfare

15:00–16:00, 28 May 2026, GMT

Speakers
Moderator

Russia's shadow fleet — a network of over 1,000 aged tankers moving sanctioned oil through the world's busiest shipping lanes — is no longer just a compliance problem. It has become an active hybrid warfare platform, implicated in undersea cable sabotage, reconnaissance drone launches over military bases and airports, and an escalating cat-and-mouse game with European states in the Baltic and North Sea. 

On 28 May ACLED explored the murky world of hybrid warfare — where commercial shipping ends and state-sponsored sabotage begins. The discussion will explore the findings of our latest report, which focuses on Russian shadow fleet activities in the Baltic and North Sea, inland hybrid warfare activities, European enforcement measures, and Russia’s response.

Moderated by ACLED’s Head of Analysis, Andrea Carboni, this conversation will feature:

  • Witold Stupnicki, ACLED’s Senior Analyst for Europe and Central Asia
  • Mathieu Boulègue, Senior Fellow with the Transatlantic Defense and Security Program at CEPA

 

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