Key trends
- Russian forces occupied three settlements in the Donetsk region and one in the Zaporizhia region. Ukrainian forces reclaimed a settlement north of Dvorichna in the Kharkiv region.
- ACLED records 26 Russian long-range missile and drone strikes, including in the Kyiv region. Ukrainian forces intercepted strikes in at least 40 other instances in 15 regions, including the western regions of Khmelnytskyi and Vinnytsia.
- Russian shelling, missiles, and drones killed at least 32 civilians in the Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Odesa, Sumy, and Dnipropetrovsk regions.
Key events
- 11 Mar. | Ivano-Frankivsk – A teenager is killed and another wounded while planting explosives near a train station
- 11 Mar. | Odesa – A Russian missile strikes a Barbados-flagged ship in Odesa port, killing four Syrian crew members
- 14 Mar. | Odesa – Russian drones strike energy infrastructure in Chornomorsk, causing a power outage and injuring two civilians
Spotlight: Ukraine withdraws from its foothold in Russia’s Kursk region
Last week, Russia regained at least 30 settlements around Sudzha as well as the district capital itself, mostly due to Ukraine’s withdrawal from the area without significant fighting. The Chief of Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov claimed on 12 March that Russian forces now control 86% of the area Ukraine initially seized in August 2024.1Andrew Osborn and Mark Trevelyan, “Putin orders army to eject last Ukrainian troops from Russian territory,” Reuters, 13 March 2025 The Russian military touted catching Ukrainian troops in Sudzha off-guard by moving a Russian reconnaissance group through the disabled Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhhorod gas pipeline, though the effects are unclear as the Ukrainian military claimed it had prior knowledge of the plan.2Meduza, “The General staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirmed that the Russian military tried to infiltrate Sudzha through the gas pipeline,” 9 March 2025 Ukrainian forces appear to be holding the heights overseeing the town of Sudzha in order to push back on Russian attempts to re-invade Ukraine’s Sumy region. But reports of Ukrainian losses of equipment, encirclement of smaller groups, and execution of at least five surrendered Ukrainian troops in Kazach’ya-Loknya show a possibly costly end to Ukraine’s counter-invasion of Russia’s Kursk region.3Oleh Chernysh, “Why the Armed Forces still hold a piece of Kursk region and is there a threat of encirclement,” BBC Ukraine, 17 March 2025; The Economist, “Ukraine’s army escapes from Kursk by the skin of its teeth,” 17 March 2025
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