Analysis Search

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The Communist Insurgency in the Philippines: A ‘Protracted People’s War’ Continues

13 July 2023

This report examines the fighting between the Philippine state and the communist rebels under the Duterte and current Marcos, Jr. administrations.

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Special Issue on the Targeting of Local Officials: The Philippines

22 June 2023

The Philippines has historically grappled with a high – and lethal – level of violence targeting local officials. Such violence is heavily concentrated in rural areas, particularly the BARMM, and especially during election periods. However, while the Philippines is home to many conflicts, a large percentage of the violence targeting local officials occurs outside of such conflicts and can be tied to electoral competition, the proliferation of political dynasties, and the domination of ‘strong families’ who find recourse in violence to secure their interests.

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The Drug War Rages on in the Philippines: New Data on the Civilian Toll, State Responsibility, and Shifting Geographies of Violence

18 November 2021

New supplemental data for the Philippines add nearly 1,000 events and more than 1,100 fatalities to the ACLED dataset for the period of 2016 to the present, expanding our coverage of the country’s war on drugs.

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CDT Spotlight: Violence Against Civilians in the Philippines

4 June 2020

After an initial decline, violence against civilians is beginning to near pre-pandemic levels in the Philippines. ACLED Research Analyst Adam Miller tracks the increase in attacks. This infographic is part of our special CDT Spotlight series. © 2020 Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). All rights reserved.

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Call Unanswered: A Review of Responses to the UN Appeal for a Global Ceasefire

13 May 2020

On 23 March, UN Secretary-General António Guterres called for a global coronavirus ceasefire (UN News, 23 March 2019). The truce would allow pandemic responses to be carried out in areas that are usually too dangerous for medical personnel to access due to ongoing conflict, and could also create opportunities for negotiations between belligerents.  Unfortunately, the…

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CDT Spotlight:
Philippines

2 April 2020

ACLED Research Analyst Adam Miller assesses the impact of the unilateral ceasefires declared by state forces and the New People’s Army in the Philippines. This infographic is part of our special CDT Spotlight series. © 2020 Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). All rights reserved.

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Mid-Year Update: 10 Conflicts to Worry About in 2019

2 August 2019

In our special report on 10 conflicts to worry about in 2019, ACLED assessed the state of political violence and protest across critical flashpoints in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East, providing both an overview of 2018’s developments and a preview of what to watch for in the new year. Our Mid-Year Update revisits these…

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Midterm Elections in the Philippines: Power Consolidation at Its Finest

10 May 2019

Midterm legislative elections occur on May 13th in the Philippines, with millions of Filipinos eligible to vote for new lawmakers across the country. But is President Duterte’s hold on power at stake? Probably not. Elections in competitive authoritarian states are primarily a means of consolidating power, done through both managing domestic political elites as well…

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Endgames & Affiliations: Explaining Differing Patterns of Behavior Between Islamist Groups

19 April 2019

Islamist groups have been deemed one of the most significant threats to international security in the 21st century, and current conflicts include peak levels of political violence involving Islamist actors (New York Times, 6 July 2018). Islamism can imply a variety of qualities – most commonly, the term implies that the group in question aims…

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Beyond the Caliphate: The Islamic State’s Global Future

27 February 2019

ACLED Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik tracks Islamic State activity outside of its former “caliphate” in Iraq and Syria, evaluating the militant group’s continued potential for global disruption.* ________ *Correction: This infographic previously included activity where the specific faction of Boko Haram involved in the event (Barnawi or Shekau faction) was unknown based on reporting. As…

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