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Conflict Watchlist 2025: Middle East
12 December 2024
The strategic balance of power in the region now favors Israel, as two of Iran’s key security pillars — regional influence through Axis of Resistance non-state actors and missile and drone capabilities — appear strained.
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025: Israel, Palestine, and Lebanon
12 December 2024
While the IDF has managed to inflict substantial damage on Hamas and Hezbollah, the prospects for lasting peace remain bleak.
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025: Pakistan
12 December 2024
The contentious domestic political situation will likely create more opportunities for militants to make gains by exploiting local anger in 2025 and make it more difficult for the government to engage in a political dialogue or mount a unified challenge against militants.
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025: Mexico
12 December 2024
President Claudia Sheinbaum, who took office in October 2024, faces a reshuffling gang landscape and potentially heightened violence in the coming year.
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025
12 December 2024
Conflict Watchlist 2025 12 December 2024 Conflict Watchlist 2025 Watch the recorded launch of our ACLED Conflict Index & 2025 Watchlist In ACLED’s Conflict Watchlist, we identify 10 crisis areas that…
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025: Ukraine
12 December 2024
An exhausted and outgunned Ukraine will face the prospect of resisting further encroachment on its territory, protecting its inhabitants from Russian attacks and their consequences, and persuading allies to stay the course.
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025: Sahel and Coastal West Africa
12 December 2024
The ripple effects of regional instability can be observed in the neighboring states of Benin and Togo, where the advance of JNIM operations presents a deliberate and strategic expansion rather than mere spillover. Similarly, the border areas between Niger and Nigeria are becoming focal points of both JNIM and IS Sahel activity.
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025: Great Lakes
12 December 2024
Peace agreements remain especially delicate due to the inability or unwillingness of the Congolese and Rwandan governments to rein in violence by proxy groups. Continued clashes between the M23 and allies of the FARDC may spoil peace agreements similar to a previous surge of Wazalendo violence in late 2023.
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025: Colombia
12 December 2024
Regional peace talks could be an important but insufficient step in solving Colombia’s conflict under President Gustavo Petro.
Read MoreConflict Watchlist 2025: Sudan
12 December 2024
The war in Sudan is at a crossroads. Although the SAF has arguably gained momentum in Khartoum, Sennar, and al-Jazirah states, prospects for peace are slim. Peace initiatives undertaken by the United States, Saudi Arabia, and the African Union have thus far achieved no meaningful outcome.
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