ACLED’s Early Warning Research Hub supports early action and violence prevention efforts by offering a suite of resources aimed at facilitating data-driven initiatives to anticipate and respond to emerging crises. The risks of rising political violence, and the early warning signs to predict these risks, are multifaceted — no single tool can identify every threat. By offering an array of interactive and interconnected tools, the Early Warning Research Hub allows users to track a variety of different risk factors, across a range of contexts, in a way that meets their distinct needs. From practitioners mapping conflict trends in a specific country or region, to global researchers looking for a pipeline of tools to identify new hotspots to monitor each week, the Hub has the necessary resources to forecast violent conflict — all in one place.

Early Warning/Early Action Tools

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Subnational Hotspot Mapper

Volatility & Risk Index

Global Threat Tracker

Conflict Pulse

Regional Overviews

Use our weekly data-driven analysis briefs to better understand the factors driving ongoing disorder trends, and to contextualize the latest conflict developments across regions.