The Global Threat Tracker automatically identifies countries at risk of violent escalation based on weekly comparisons of conflict rates. The dashboard displays a filled map of the world, depicting where political violence trends are on the rise using a traffic light coloring scheme.
The countries filled red on the map are those in which political violence increased last week by more than 40% relative to last month — representing a large increase in violence. These high-risk countries are flagged on the watchlist next to the map for reference. The countries filled yellow are those in which political violence either increased or decreased last week by less than 40% relative to last month — representing a limited change in violence. The countries filled green are those in which political violence decreased last week by more than 40% relative to last month — representing a large decrease in violence.
Why might a country have ‘turned red’ — i.e. registered a significant spike in violence — and be flagged on the watchlist? To better understand the factors behind these surges, review ACLED’s Regional Overviews, which describe and contextualize the latest developments and trends in political disorder across each region during the previous week. While this dashboard captures recent spikes in violence — i.e. countries where violence increased by more than 40% last week relative to last month — use ACLED’s global dashboard to map wider macro trends — i.e. how much violence has increased last month relative to the monthly average over the last year.