Melissa Pavlik is a Research Consultant at ACLED studying overarching trends of armed conflict across and within ACLED’s regions of study. She has degrees in Statistics and Political Science from the University of Chicago, and in War Studies from King’s College London. Her research focus include violent non-state actors, conflict mapping, and US foreign policy.

A Great and Sudden Change: The Global Political Violence Landscape Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic

In this special report, ACLED Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik reviews key findings from 16 weeks of data recorded by our COVID-19 Disorder Tracker, highlighting the most significant changes to global political violence and demonstrations trends since the onset of the pandemic. Introduction The coronavirus pandemic has brought at least half of the world under lockdown…

A Sudden Surfacing of Strength: Evaluating the Possibility of an IS Resurgence in Iraq and Syria

Evaluating an IS Resurgence The historical moment in which the Islamic State (IS) exploded into global infamy was unique. In 2011, three years before the emergence of the caliphate, the Arab Spring had begun to destabilize political orders across the Middle East. In Syria, the uprising quickly morphed into a full-fledged civil war. Fighters from…

CDT Spotlight: South Africa

While most types of violence decreased following the coronavirus outbreak in South Africa, violence against civilians has more than doubled. ACLED Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik explores the spike in events. This infographic is part of our special CDT Spotlight series. © 2020 Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). All rights reserved.

CDT Recap: Southeast & South Asia

Two months into the COVID-19 pandemic, ACLED takes stock of key trends in political violence and protest activity across Southeast and South Asia. This infographic is part of a special CDT Recap series reviewing eight weeks of data and analysis published as part of our COVID-19 Disorder Tracker. For more information, see the CDT Spotlight…

CDT Spotlight: Mob Violence

Mob violence has risen around the world since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. ACLED Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik breaks down the surge in activity.This infographic is part of our special CDT Spotlight series. © 2020 Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). All rights reserved.

CDT Spotlight: Pakistan

As Pakistan eases coronavirus restrictions, political violence and protest activity is returning to pre-pandemic levels. ACLED Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik surveys disorder patterns around the country. This infographic is part of our special CDT Spotlight series. © 2020 Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). All rights reserved.

CDT Spotlight: State Force in Uganda

In late March, Uganda experienced its highest disorder levels in over a decade. ACLED Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik examines how the pandemic response has led to a spike in state violence. This infographic is part of our special CDT Spotlight series. © 2020 Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). All rights reserved.