ACLED’s Ukraine Conflict Monitor provides near real-time information on the ongoing war, including an interactive map of the latest data from the start of Russia’s invasion, a curated data file, and weekly situation updates. It is designed to help researchers, policymakers, media, and the wider public track key conflict developments in Ukraine. It is released every Wednesday, with data covering events from Saturday to Friday of the preceding week and providing updates to past events as new or better information becomes available.
Ukraine War Situation Update:
16 – 22 November 2024
Key trends
- Russian forces made further advancements in the Pokrovsk district of the Donetsk region, occupying five settlements around Kurakhove.
- ACLED records 25 Russian long-range missile and drone strikes, including in the western regions of Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Volyn, and Zakarpattia. Ukrainian forces also intercepted strikes in at least 33 further instances.
- Russian shelling, missiles, and drones killed at least 59 civilians across Ukraine, almost half of them in the Sumy region. Additionally, at least one civilian was killed in a Ukrainian missile strike on Horlivka in the Donetsk region.
Key events
- 17 Nov. | Sumy – Russian missiles hit a residential quarter in Sumy city, killing 12 civilians and wounding 84 others
- 18 Nov. | Sumy – Russian drones strike a dormitory in Hlukhiv, killing 12 civilians and wounding 13 others
- 18 Nov. | Odesa – Debris from a downed Russian missile kills four civilians and seven police officers in Odesa city
Spotlight: Russian rhetoric escalates following Ukraine’s use of long-range missiles on Russian territory
On 19 November, shortly after United States authorization,1Adam Entous, Eric Schmitt and Julian E. Barnes, ‘Biden Allows Ukraine to Strike Russia With Long-Range U.S. Missiles,’ New York Times, 17 November 2024 Ukrainian forces conducted their first strikes with US-supplied long-range ATACMS missiles on Russia’s internationally recognized territory, hitting a military base in the Bryansk region. The following day, Ukraine also used UK-supplied Storm Shadow missiles on Russian territory for the first time, targeting a military command center housing Russian and North Korean officers in the Kursk region. Ukraine has regularly used both ATACMS and Storm Shadow missiles against Russian positions in occupied regions of Ukraine, including Crimea, but limited its attacks on Russia itself to shelling and drones.
Russia retaliated to the strikes by escalating its nuclear threats against Ukraine and its supporters. Russia’s President Vladimir Putin signed an amended Russian nuclear doctrine on 19 November – while it previously allowed a nuclear response only to an existential threat to Russia, the amended version allows such a response to attacks with conventional weapons.2Maia Davies, Putin approves changes to Russia’s nuclear doctrine, BBC, 19 November 2024 Furthermore, on 21 November, Russian forces fired an ‘Oreshnik’ hypersonic nuclear-capable intermediate range missile at Pivdenmash missile producer in Dnipro city, damaging a rehabilitation center for people with disabilities. This was the first time that such a missile had been used in combat conditions. In a televised speech on the same day, Putin blamed Ukraine’s backers for escalating the war and threatened to conduct further ‘Oreshnik’ strikes, including against third countries supplying weapons to Ukraine.3Meduza, ‘We are prepared for any turn of events’ In a televised speech, Vladimir Putin claims a hypersonic missile attack on Ukraine and warns the West of more to come — Full transcript,’ 21 November 2024 Since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Putin and his entourage have frequently threatened a nuclear strike to dissuade Western support of Ukraine.4Associated Press, ‘Putin warns again that Russia is ready to use nuclear weapons if its sovereignty is threatened,’ 13 March 2024; Guy Faulconbridge, ‘Russia’s Putin issues new nuclear warnings to West over Ukraine,’ Reuters, 22 February 2023
Explore the ACLED Conflict Exposure tool to assess the numbers of people affected by armed violence, disaggregated by locations, time period, and actors involved.
Ukraine Conflict: Interactive Map
This interactive map includes political violence events in Ukraine since the start of the Russian invasion on 24 February 2022.
Date and subset filters
By default, the map displays data for the most recent week. Use the date filters to change the date range in view.
Use the subset filters to analyze trends in more detail.
Changing view
By default, the map is set to event view, which uses scaled circles to show events at a given location. Click on a region in Ukraine to zoom in for a more detailed view. Hovering over a region will give a count of events within its borders.
Changing to region (oblast) view will switch the map to a choropleth, giving an overview of event density per region. This will also disable the zoom function.
Events in Russia
While in event view, use the ‘Events in Russia’ toggle to show or hide conflict-related events in Russia. Conflict-related events are identified as follows:
- All events with the ‘Battles’ or ‘Explosions/remote violence’ event type.
- Events with the ‘Violence against civilians’ event type, where the actor is:
- Ukrainian or Russian military
- Russian border guards
- Pro-Ukrainian Russian militias
Event counts and civilian fatalities
The box in the bottom right hand corner displays event counts in total, disaggregated by event type, and filtered by date or subset according to the options already selected.
It also shows a conservative estimate of civilian fatalities, limited to events where civilians are targeted directly. Military casualties are not represented on the map as they are largely unverifiable.
For more information on how ACLED codes fatalities, read our methodology explainer.
Curated Data
This file contains all political violence events, demonstration events, and strategic developments recorded in Ukraine and the Black Sea from the beginning of ACLED coverage in 2018 to the present.
For an overview, see our interactive dashboard.
Ukraine & the Black Sea ( 22 November 2024 )
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Information & Analysis
For additional information on the conflict in Ukraine, check our analysis of political violence trends from the start of ACLED coverage in 2018.