Ukraine Conflict Monitor

Last updated: 19 February 2025

Amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, this aerial photograph shows the destruction in the village of Bohorodychne in the Donetsk region on 27 January 2024. Photo by Roman Pilipey/AFP via Getty Images

ACLED’s Ukraine Conflict Monitor provides near real-time information on the ongoing war, including an interactive map of the latest data from the start of Russia’s invasion, a curated data file, and weekly situation updates. It  is designed to help researchers, policymakers, media, and the wider public track key conflict developments in Ukraine. It is released every Wednesday, with data covering events from Saturday to Friday of the preceding week and providing updates to past events as new or better information becomes available.

Register for our webinar on Friday, 21 February at 10 am NYC | 4 pm Brussels | 5 pm Kyiv featuring a live discussion analyzing the data behind the grim reality for civilians living in Ukraine.

Ukraine War Situation Update:
8 – 14 February 2025

1150 political violence events

8% increase compared to last week

52 incidents of violence targeting civilians

7% decrease compared to last week

At least 11 fatalities from civilian targeting

68% decrease compared to last week

Key trends

  • In the Donetsk region, Russian forces advanced near Kurakhove and Velyka Novosilka, and occupied a settlement south of Pokrovsk. 
  • In the Kharkiv region, Russian forces advanced north of Dvorichna.
  • ACLED records 30 Russian long-range missile and drone strikes, including attacks on Kyiv city, Kyiv region, and the central regions of Cherkasy and Kirovohrad. Ukrainian forces intercepted strikes in at least 46 other instances in 17 regions, including the western regions of Volyn and Rivne.
  • Russian shelling, missiles, and drones killed at least 11 civilians in the Kherson, Sumy, Donetsk, and Zaporizhia regions, as well the city of Kyiv. Ukrainian shelling and drone strikes targeting Russian forces also killed one and injured at least 26 civilians in the Russian-occupied Donetsk region.

Key events

  • 9 Feb. | Donetsk A Russian aerial bomb strikes residential buildings and a medical clinic in Kramatorsk, killing one civilian
  • 14 Feb. |  Mykolaiv An explosive device kills three demining specialists and wounds eight civilians in Mykolaiv city
  • 14 Feb | Kyiv – A Russian drone pierces the radiation shield over the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant, causing a fire

Spotlight: Kyiv floats exchange of territory as latest Ukrainian offensive in Russia’s Kursk region stalls

Ukraine’s most recent push to secure the area southeast of Sudzha in Russia’s Kursk region started on 6 February but seemingly stalled in its second week, with Ukrainian forces struggling to gain a foothold and establish control over settlements in the area. The level of violence in the Kursk region has not subsided, however, as Kyiv continues precision strikes on Russian military command posts.1Kateryna Hodunova, ‘Ukraine’s strike on Russian command center in Kursk Oblast causes ‘significant losses,’ General Staff says’, The Kyiv Independent, 4 February 2025 The intensification of hostilities could be aimed at consolidating Kyiv’s posture ahead of putative ceasefire negotiations. In this context, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy aired the possibility of exchanging Ukraine-occupied areas in the Kursk region for unspecified territories occupied by Russia in Ukraine.2Shawn Walker, ‘Zelenskyy: Europe cannot guarantee Ukraine’s security without America’, The Guardian, 11 February 2025

Since the initial incursion into the Kursk oblast of the Russian Federation in early August 2024, which saw the rapid occupation of over 20 settlements, Ukrainian forces have achieved limited advances amid Russian counter-offensives conducted jointly with North Korean troops. Whereas some observers see the Kursk incursion as a success due to the Ukrainian forces’ ability to pin significant Russian troops away from the crucial Donetsk battlefields,3Angelica Evans, ‘Ukraine’s Kursk Incursion: Six Month Assessment,’ Institute for the Study of War, 6 February 2025 ACLED records over 50 instances of Russian forces regaining control over settlements in the contested area.

Explore the ACLED Conflict Exposure tool to assess the numbers of people affected by armed violence, disaggregated by locations, time period, and actors involved.

Ukraine Conflict: Interactive Map

This interactive map includes political violence events in Ukraine since the start of the Russian invasion on 24 February 2022.

Date and subset filters

By default, the map displays data for the most recent week. Use the date filters to change the date range in view.

Use the subset filters to analyze trends in more detail.

Changing view

By default, the map is set to event view, which uses scaled circles to show events at a given location. Click on a region in Ukraine to zoom in for a more detailed view. Hovering over a region will give a count of events within its borders.

Changing to region (oblast) view will switch the map to a choropleth, giving an overview of event density per region. This will also disable the zoom function.

Events in Russia

While in event view, use the ‘Events in Russia’ toggle to show or hide conflict-related events in Russia. Conflict-related events are identified as follows:

  • All events with the ‘Battles’ or ‘Explosions/remote violence’ event type. 
  • Events with the ‘Violence against civilians’ event type, where the actor is:
    • Ukrainian or Russian military
    • Russian border guards
    • Pro-Ukrainian Russian militias

Event counts and civilian fatalities

The box in the bottom right hand corner displays event counts in total, disaggregated by event type, and filtered by date or subset according to the options already selected. 

It also shows a conservative estimate of civilian fatalities, limited to events where civilians are targeted directly. Military casualties are not represented on the map as they are largely unverifiable.

For more information on how ACLED codes fatalities, read our methodology explainer.

Curated Data

This file contains all political violence events, demonstration events, and strategic developments recorded in Ukraine and the Black Sea from the beginning of ACLED coverage in 2018 to the present.

For an overview, see our interactive dashboard.

Ukraine & the Black Sea ( 14 February 2025 )

Download File

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Information & Analysis

For additional information on the conflict in Ukraine, check our analysis of political violence trends from the start of ACLED coverage in 2018.

Previous Weekly Situation Updates