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January 2024 | The Complexities of the Somaliland-Ethiopia Sea Access Deal

26 January 2024

Political tensions are high in the Horn of Africa following the signing of a memorandum of understanding (MoU) between Ethiopia and Somaliland, which provides sea access to landlocked Ethiopia in exchange for the recognition of the breakaway territory of Somaliland as a sovereign state.

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Kenya: Al-Shabaab, Pastoralist Militias, and the M23 – January 2024

19 January 2024

In Kenya, low-scale violence continued to sweep across several counties, amid reports of continued activity by al-Shabaab in the regions bordering Somalia and sporadic violence by armed pastoralists.

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Conflict Watchlist 2024 | Sudan: Setting the Stage for a Long War

17 January 2024

Conflict Watchlist 2024 Sudan: Setting the Stage for a Long War Posted: 17 January 2024 View the Sudan: Mid-year metrics 2024 infographic In April 2023, war broke out in the capital…

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Conflict Watchlist 2024 | The Sahel: A Deadly New Era in the Decades-long Conflict

17 January 2024

The military juntas that rule Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger are likely to continue to shape the region’s security policies in 2024. Their rise across the Sahel ushered in a new era, leading to the withdrawal of French troops, the termination of the United Nations peacekeeping mission to Mali, and the entrenchment of Russian mercenaries.

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Conflict Watchlist 2024 | Democratic Republic of Congo: Re-elected President Tshisekedi Faces Regional Crisis in the East

17 January 2024

After the national elections in December, the recently re-elected President Félix Tshisekedi will oversee multiple security threats, the drawdown of international military and peacekeeping forces, and a troubled relationship with several eastern neighbors — especially Rwanda.

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January 2024 | The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) Gains Ground in Sudan

12 January 2024

Situation Update | January 2024 Sudan: The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) Gains Ground in Sudan 12 January 2024 < Back to Sudan Hub VITAL TRENDS Since fighting first broke out…

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