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Conflict Watchlist 2024 | United States: Intensifying Polarization and the Looming Presidential Election

17 January 2024

Current turbulence in the US threatens to reinvigorate smoldering domestic divides in the lead-up to the elections. A contentious campaign period may lead to intimidation and violence at polling places, as well as renewed mobilization by opportunistic far-right groups around claims of voter fraud, anti-LGBTQ+ legislation, and access to abortion.

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Riding the Tide: The Shifting Identity of the Proud Boys Since the Capitol Riot

14 December 2023

In this update to our 2021 actor profile on the Proud Boys, we analyze ACLED data on key developments in the Proud Boy’s activity from 2021 through 2023, identifying new drivers of mobilization across the country.

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ACLED Conflict Severity Index: January 2023

19 January 2023

Drawing on the latest ACLED data, the Conflict Severity Index assesses four key indicators to identify the most severe forms of conflict, providing new insights into how and where severe conflicts occur.

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From the Capitol Riot to the Midterms: Shifts in American Far-Right Mobilization Between 2021 and 2022

6 December 2022

Analysis of evolving trends in far-right activity in the United States around the 2022 midterm elections.

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UPDATE | Fact Sheet: Anti-LGBT+ Mobilization on the Rise in the United States

23 November 2022

Anti-LGBT+ mobilization has risen to its highest levels since ACLED started collecting data for the United States in 2020.

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Abortion-Related Demonstrations in the United States: Shifting Trends and the Potential for Violence

23 June 2022

Analysis of key shifts in abortion-related protest activity and the potential for violence after the Supreme Court decision.

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