Analysis Search

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Beyond the Caliphate: The Islamic State’s Global Future

27 February 2019

ACLED Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik tracks Islamic State activity outside of its former “caliphate” in Iraq and Syria, evaluating the militant group’s continued potential for global disruption.* ________ *Correction: This infographic previously included activity where the specific faction of Boko Haram involved in the event (Barnawi or Shekau faction) was unknown based on reporting. As…

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10 Conflicts to Worry About in 2019

1 February 2019

Disorder spread across ACLED’s areas of coverage last year, with political violence and protest surging in more countries than they declined. These trends show few signs of stopping in 2019, as conflict and unrest threaten to expand in scope and scale. In this special report on 10 conflicts to worry about in 2019, ACLED analyzes…

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How Houthi-planted mines are killing civilians in Yemen 

30 January 2019

Earlier this month in Yemen, five foreign experts working for the Saudi-funded Masam demining project died while transporting mines from the organization’s headquarters in Marib. A mine they were carrying went off in the truck, causing a powerful blast that killed the five men and injured another (BBC, 22 January 2019). This incident, however, is…

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ACLED 2018: The Year in Review

11 January 2019

ACLED is pleased to release our 2018 annual report surveying disorder patterns over the past year – ACLED 2018: The Year in Review. Access the full report by ACLED Research Director Dr. Roudabeh Kishi and Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik here. Veuillez trouver ici la version française du sommaire.   .بإمكانك الحصول على الملخص باللغة العربية هنا Executive Summary Disorder…

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Yemen’s Urban Battlegrounds: Violence and Politics in Sana’a, Aden, Ta’izz and Hodeidah

7 December 2018

To access a PDF of this report, please click here. According to recent World Bank estimates, rural areas account for two thirds of the Yemeni population, while only one third of Yemenis are estimated to live in urban centres (World Bank, 2018). As a result of this disproportion, the consequences of both the conflict and…

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Fatalities in the Yemen Conflict

8 November 2018

In this infographic, Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik breaks down ACLED’s current estimate of fatalities caused by Yemen’s Civil War, with a spotlight on civilian deaths. Find an explanation of ACLED’s methodology for monitoring the conflict in Yemen here.

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Targeting Islamists: Assassinations in South Yemen

8 November 2018

A recent news article published by Buzzfeed revealed the involvement of American mercenaries contracted by the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in a 2015 assassination attempt on Anssaf Ali Mayo, a local Islamist party leader in Yemen’s southern port city of Aden (Buzzfeed, 16 October 2018). While the national identity of the perpetrators came as a…

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Exporting (In)Stability: The UAE’s Role in Yemen and the Horn of Africa

10 October 2018

Over the past decade, the UAE has been increasingly projecting its power west toward the African continent. Until recently, this deployment had gone relatively unnoticed. In March 2015, however, Abu Dhabi joined Riyadh in its military intervention in Yemen. The surprisingly large military capacities displayed by the UAE, in comparison with its relatively small size,…

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Nothing Quiet on the Western Front: A New Battle Starts in Hodeidah as Peace Talks Fail

12 September 2018

On September 7, coalition-backed anti-Houthi forces resumed military operations outside Hodeidah, in the latest attempt to retake the western port city that the Houthis have been controlling since October 2014. The offensive is reported to have already caused tens of casualties during the weekend, mainly a result of intense air and artillery strikes on Houthi…

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Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in Yemen: A Continued Threat?

9 August 2018

As pressure from UAE-backed troops and US airstrikes has increased over the past two years, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) fighters have found themselves engaged on multiple fronts, weakening their ability to control and manage territory. While AQAP remains a major threat to Yemeni society, a decreasing number of claimed operations by the…

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