10 Conflicts to Worry About in 2022
Mid-Year Update

In ACLED’s special report on 10 conflicts to worry about at the start of 2022, we identified a range of flashpoints and emerging crises where violent political disorder was likely to evolve or worsen over the course of the year: Ethiopia, Yemen, the Sahel, Nigeria, Afghanistan, Lebanon, Sudan, Haiti, Colombia, and Myanmar. Our mid-year update revisits these 10 cases, tracking key developments in political violence and protest activity during the first half of 2022 and analyzing trends to watch in the coming months.

Note: At the time of the original report’s publication, Russian threats against Ukraine had not yet translated into significant shifts in conflict trends on the ground. Since then, the Russian military launched a full-scale invasion, resulting in a major escalation of hostilities across the country. To track these developments, we created the Ukraine Crisis Hub — a dedicated platform for data and analysis on the conflict featuring curated datasets, interactive visualization tools, methodology resources, and more. Access all ACLED data directly through our export tool, curated files, or API,  and find more information about ACLED methodology in our Resource Library.

Ethiopia

Multiple Complications Threaten to Result in a Dangerous Re-Escalation

Yemen

Diplomatic Efforts Succeed in Subduing the Conflict

The Sahel

Persistent, Expanding, and Escalating Instability

Nigeria

Multiple Security Threats Persist Around the Country

Afghanistan

High Risk of Violence Targeting Civilians Under Taliban Rule

Lebanon

Political Violence Intensifies Despite Decline in Demonstrations

Sudan

Military Factions Enhance Their Power Amid Spreading Violence

Haiti

Gang Violence Intensifies Amid Political Instability

Colombia

Continued Risk of Rising Violence Targeting Civilians

Myanmar

Continued Resistance Against the Military Coup