Africa
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Service-delivery demonstrations, political voice and elections in South Africa

21 January 2015

South Africa was the seventh most active country in the ACLED dataset in 2014, in spite of lacking any form of armed insurgency or rebellion. This means that the form of conflict in South Africa differs drastically from countries with similar activity levels such as Libya and Sudan. What has defined South Africa as a…

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A Review of Libya in 2014

21 January 2015

Libya was the fourth most active and the sixth most violent country in the ACLED dataset with 2383 reported fatalities from battles and remote violence in 2014. The deterioration of security in Libya throughout 2014 has been characterized by a myriad of factional armed groups with complex competing claims and two divided governments mobilizing competing…

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Update of ACLED Resources on Boko Haram

12 January 2015

Boko Haram continues to be one of the most high-profile and lethal conflict actor within the West Africa. The group has developed into a transnational actor and is active in Nigeria, Cameroon, Chad, Mali and Niger. Boko Haram is also notable for the scale of its attacks on both state and civilian targets, with the…

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State Policy, Political Opportunity and Phases of Contentious Political Activity in Egypt

18 December 2014

A cursory glance at Egypt’s conflict landscape from the beginning of the revolutionary uprising would infer that overall, riots and protests have followed an upward trajectory with increased participation, mobilisation and dissent against the regime (see Figure 1). However, the transformation of contentious politics in Egypt is best understood by conceptualising three distinct timeframes of…

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Tunisia Presidential Elections: a fresh start or “in with the old”?

26 November 2014

On Sunday, Tunisia observed the first round of presidential elections since the 2011 revolution, with a 62.9% turnout. Despite the Tunisian authorities deploying 80,000 security forces across the country to face anticipated unrest (Al Jazeera, 24 November 2014) the elections were not marred by violence, reflecting their open and inclusive nature. Conflict levels have remained…

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Factionalism and Violence within the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front

19 November 2014

Tensions within the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) have increased ahead of the party Congress in December. There is an expectation that the Congress will address the question of succession, an issue that has divided the party into two camps: one backing the ascension of Vice-President Joice Mujuru and the other backing the President’s…

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