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Important Reading on South Sudan
6 January 2014
Below are several links and pieces that help to explain the current situation in South Sudan by reviewing the violence that has occurred across the state (and in particular Jonglei) since Independence. What explains the violence? African Arguments Piece The UN is the Solution…. African Arguments Piece Violence in Jonglei- HSBA Yau Yau Rebellion –…
Read MorePredicted Conflict Rates for Sudan in January 2014
6 January 2014
We estimate Sudan’s upcoming conflict rate (with confidence interval) for January 2014 based on previous conflict patterns and levels
Read MoreCAR Conflict in Stages from 2010
4 January 2014
Many wonder how the current crisis in the Central African Republic has come about. In the visualization below, we see that (most recently) the former president Bozize’s call for elections began a process of peace negotiation with various rebel groups and those groups then re-organizing into the Seleka rebels. Both the main former rebel group…
Read MoreKenyan Violence by Ethnic Region
2 March 2013
See here for a review of all violence by years and ethnicity, concentrating on the big 5: Kikuyu, Kalenjin, Luo, Giryama and Turkana
Read MoreKenyan Violence by County
2 March 2013
Race for governor seats are contentious as the constitution has given these districts considerable power. See map for comparison between normal and 2013 rates of violence.
Read MoreMombassa Republican Council Boycotts Election
1 March 2013
Mombasa Republican Council has declared the coast an independent republic and called for a boycott of next week’s presidential election. The group has also been accused of scare tactics and violence on the coast, in the period leading up to the elections. The boycott has important implications for Odinga, who is believed to have support…
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