Africa
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State Policy, Political Opportunity and Phases of Contentious Political Activity in Egypt
18 December 2014
A cursory glance at Egypt’s conflict landscape from the beginning of the revolutionary uprising would infer that overall, riots and protests have followed an upward trajectory with increased participation, mobilisation and dissent against the regime (see Figure 1). However, the transformation of contentious politics in Egypt is best understood by conceptualising three distinct timeframes of…
- Africa
- Analysis
- Civilians At Risk
- Ethnic Militias
- Focus On Militias
- Political Stability
- Pro-Government Militias
- Rioting And Protests
- Vigilante Militias
- Violence Against Civilians
Tunisia Presidential Elections: a fresh start or “in with the old”?
26 November 2014
On Sunday, Tunisia observed the first round of presidential elections since the 2011 revolution, with a 62.9% turnout. Despite the Tunisian authorities deploying 80,000 security forces across the country to face anticipated unrest (Al Jazeera, 24 November 2014) the elections were not marred by violence, reflecting their open and inclusive nature. Conflict levels have remained…
Read MoreFactionalism and Violence within the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front
19 November 2014
Tensions within the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) have increased ahead of the party Congress in December. There is an expectation that the Congress will address the question of succession, an issue that has divided the party into two camps: one backing the ascension of Vice-President Joice Mujuru and the other backing the President’s…
Read MoreAlgeria – Political Competition and Stability
19 November 2014
The Arab Democracy Index IV, published in November 2014, documented that “there has been a positive but slow progress towards democratic change” in the region since the Arab Spring. The results identify that Algeria progressed by 105 ADI (Arab Democracy Index) points since 2011 and ranks third behind Morocco and Jordan. This score is measured…
- Africa
- Analysis
- Civilians At Risk
- Elections
- Human Rights
- Islamist Violence
- Local-Level Violence
- Rioting And Protests
- Violence Against Civilians
The Rainy Season and Conflict in South Sudan
13 November 2014
The climate did its part to worsen the crisis in South Sudan during the rainy season, which began around May and is only just now letting up (Sudan Tribune, November 10, 2014). The rain’s effects on food insecurity and malnourishment (BBC, September 9, 2014), health issues (The Guardian, July 1, 2014), and increased displacement (Al…
Read MoreBoko Haram Activity Since the Nigerian Government’s Announcement of the Ceasefire
12 November 2014
On the 17th of October, Hassan Tukur, a senior aide to President Goodluck Jonathan, announced that the Nigerian government had agreed a ceasefire with Boko Haram and secured the release of the 219 girls kidnapped from Chibok earlier this year (Al Jazeera, 18 October). Doubts were immediately cast on the validity of the government’s claim.…
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