January 2018 saw the beginning of Turkey’s offensive against the Kurdish-led Democratic Union Party (PYD) in Syria’s Afrin region, codenamed Operation Olive Branch. This operation builds upon Turkey’s initial intervention in Syria, Operation Euphrates Shield, which saw Turkish-backed Syrian rebels capture a significant amount of territory in Aleppo province.…
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The first month of 2018 has seen significant developments in several countries across the Middle East. Excluding Syria, the region as a whole saw a drop in the number of reported fatalities in January 2018, particularly in Yemen which fell from an annual high in December 2017 of over 2400 to just over 1800 in January 2018.…
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Violent activities of the Fulani nomadic group have seen a sharp rise throughout January 2018. Since the beginning of the year, 66 separate events involving the militia have been recorded, a 260% increase from the same month in 2017 (see Figure 1).…
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All forms of political violence and protest, excluding battles, increased throughout January 2018, following the lull in armed conflict events in December 2017.
Protests increased significantly (by 39%), largely driven by developments in Tunisia, where protests rose from 52 in December to 162 in January (see Figure 1).…
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Across Africa in January 2018, political violence and protest levels rebounded from the lull in December 2017. This regional pattern is predominantly driven by a 38.5% increase in protest levels, where regional coordination between movements is provoking tougher government responses in anti-TPLF protests in Ethiopia, as well as in Tunisia and South Africa.…
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Four years after the Houthi takeover of the capital Sana’a and the beginning of the Saudi-led military intervention, there is little to suggest that Yemen will find peace in the near future.…
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Which type of actor is the most dangerous to civilians, by country? Which countries see the most civilian targeting, and which type of actors are responsible for it?…
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Islamic State activity has led to over 51,000 additional conflict fatalities over the past year. It is active across the Middle East, North and East Africa. Several affiliate groups have emerged claiming allegiance, despite the group’s faltering performance in Iraq and Syria.…
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After the ZANU-PF’s Central Committee’s unanimous vote on 19th November 2017, Mugabe is no longer First Secretary of the ZANU-PF party. But, Mugabe is not purged from the ZANU-PF party, and this decision has no bearing on Mugabe’s position as President of the State of Zimbabwe.…
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A number of recent studies explore the relationship between gender inequality and conflict and generally find that higher gender inequality, or lower rates of inclusion, is associated with higher rates of conflict and violence.…
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