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Ethiopia – January 2017 Update

Africa, Analysis, Political Stability, Rioting And Protests, Violence Against CiviliansBy Margaux Pinaud 7 February 2017

The nearly 3,000 fatalities reported between November 2015 and January 2017 rocked Ethiopia and the international community. Unprecedented waves of popular mobilisation in the country mainly drove these trends. Since November 2016 however, the number of riots and protests significantly reduced, giving way to a political violence landscape now dominated by battles and violence against civilians (see Figure 1).… Details

Overview of Continental Trends 2016

Africa, Boko Haram, Civilians At Risk, Current Hotspots, Education, Focus On Militias, Remote Violence, Rioting And Protests, Violence Against CiviliansBy Roudabeh Kishi 7 February 2017

African states experienced high rates of both political violence and protest in 2016 (see Figure 2). The aggregated totals are remarkably similar to those of 2015, which indicates three important lessons going forward: The crisis points on the continent- Libya, South Sudan, Somalia, and Nigeria- continue to produce significant violence, with substantial harm to civilians and the political process of peace.… Details

Conflict Trend Summaries 2016

Africa, Analysis, Civilians At Risk, Current Hotspots, Elections, Government Repression, Remote Violence, Violence Against CiviliansBy Daniel Wigmore-Shepherd 7 February 2017

Kenya Kenya saw a decrease in political violence and reported fatalities in 2016. The vast majority of fatalities in 2016 still came from Al Shabaab activity. The country also saw a spike in demonstrations in June over whether the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) should be reformed before the general elections of August 2017 (Africa Confidential, 10 June 2016).… Details

Democratic Republic of Congo – December 2016 Update

Analysis, Current Hotspots, Focus On Militias, Remote Violence, Rioting And Protests, United Nations, Violence Against CiviliansBy Matt Fleugel-Carew 9 December 2016

Over the course of 2016, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DR-Congo) saw a rise in intensity of political violence, and the emergence of new trends. First, violence involving the ADF, FDLR and Mayi Mayi militias clustered in the Kivus and Orientale province and ethnic conflict between Bantus and Batwas, as well as Hutus and Nandes, continued from previous years.… Details

Egypt – December 2016 Update

Africa, Analysis, Current Hotspots, Political Stability, Rioting And ProtestsBy James Moody 9 December 2016

An overview of Egypt from January – December 2016 indicates a stable and consistent level of political violence and protest over the course of the year (see Figure 1). Overall conflict and political violence levels decreased, with battles witnessing the most significant drop of nearly 41% from 2015 to 2016.… Details

South Africa – December 2016 Update

Africa, Analysis, Education, Rioting And Protests, Violence Against CiviliansBy Daniel Moody 9 December 2016

2016 represents the second most active year in the ACLED dataset for South Africa. Although conflict and protest event levels have decreased overall since 2015, 2016 has borne witness to several crucial events and trends which have had serious ramifications on the fabric of South African society.… Details

Sudan – December 2016 Update

Africa, Analysis, Civilians At Risk, Focus On Militias, Remote Violence, Rioting And Protests, Violence Against CiviliansBy Margaux Pinaud 9 December 2016

With political violence levels at their second highest point since 1997 as per the ACLED dataset, Sudan placed itself as the fourth most active conflict country in Africa in 2016. Despite a slight decrease in the level of reported battles and violence against civilians compared to 2013 and 2014 respectively, the country saw a significant rise in remote warfare (reaching its highest level since 1997 with 275 records) and maintained sustained levels of fatalities (nearly 3,490 as of early December) and repression of protest movements (see Figure 1).… Details

Central African Republic – December 2016 Update

Africa, Analysis, Focus On Militias, Political Stability, Rioting And Protests, Violence Against CiviliansBy Daniel Wigmore-Shepherd 9 December 2016

The Central African Republic witnessed an encouraging overall decrease in lethal political violence during the first half of 2016. However, this was followed by a dramatic jump in violence from September to November which stems from the failure of the new regime in Bangui to forge a political settlement that appeals to the increasingly fractured Seleka coalition and other militia groups (see Figure 1).… Details

South Sudan– November 2016 Update

Africa, Analysis, Civilians At Risk, Focus On Militias, Political Stability, Remote Violence, Unidentified Armed Groups, Violence Against CiviliansBy Margaux Pinaud 14 November 2016

Political violence in South Sudan continued to increase through October, reaching its highest point since the battles in July when violence re-erupted in the capital between the government and the rebel Sudan People’s Liberation Army – In Opposition (SPLA-IO).… Details

Egypt – November 2016 Update

Africa, Analysis, Pro-Government Militias, Remote Violence, Rioting And Protests, Violence Against CiviliansBy James Moody 14 November 2016

Political violence and protest events in Egypt have been rising since August 2016, largely driven by two dynamics. First, protests have rebounded nationwide coinciding with a seven-year high inflation rate of 15.5 percent in August (NYTimes, 20 October 2016).… Details