ACLED Executive Director Prof. Clionadh Raleigh outlines new research into political change in African competitive autocracies using the notion of ‘regime cycles.' This framework seeks to explain political change in African autocracies by looking at the role of political elites, focusing on cycles of power between a leader and their rivals which determine their survival -- proposing an alternative conceptual framework to interpret dynamics of change in African autocracies.
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Over the past month in the Middle East and North Africa, authorities continued to impose state-sanctioned interpretations of Islam on their citizens, and to harrass religious minorities and to restrict their activities.…
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Last week, in Europe, Central Asia, and the Caucasus, Kazakh authorities cracked down on activists suspected of participating in mass demonstrations beginning on 2 January. Fighting escalated on the Armenia-Artsakh-Azerbaijan Line of Contact.…
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Weekly reports on the latest conflict developments in Mozambique and Ethiopia are made available by the Cabo Ligado and Ethiopia Peace Observatory projects, respectively.
Last week in Africa, military forces conducted airstrikes against Islamist militants in Burkina Faso, Mali, DRC and Somalia; mass demonstrations against military rule continued in Sudan and broke out in Mali against ECOWAS sanctions; clashes between local self-defence militias and Zamfara militiamen in Nigeria led to numerous fatalities; and violence escalated in Cameroon and Uganda.…
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Demonstration levels in the United States declined last week, following a spike during the week of 6 January around the first anniversary of the Capitol riot. Demonstration events involving labor groups – particularly those led by health workers – surged last week, constituting the largest share of demonstration events.…
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Last week in South America, violence remained at the same levels compared to the week prior, while demonstrations slightly decreased. In Brazil, three members of the same family of environmentalists were shot and killed in Pará state.…
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Last week in Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean, violence increased amid gang-related attacks and targeted attacks against Indigenous communities in Mexico and Honduras. In Mexico, gang violence increased in Michoacan and San Luis Potosi states, with the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) carrying out several attacks using drones charged with explosives in Michoacan state.…
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Last week in South Asia and Afghanistan, Taliban infighting took place in several provinces in Afghanistan, while groups of women protested the persecution of former security workers under Taliban governance. In Pakistan, security forces clashed with Islamic State (IS) militants in Balochistan province, while Baloch separatists launched targeted attacks against civilians and military forces.…
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Last week in the Middle East, Giants Brigades forces entered Marib and Al Bayda governorates in Yemen after defeating Houthi forces in Shabwah. In Syria, unidentified gunmen detonated three IEDs in cities controlled by Turkey-backed factions in Aleppo province.…
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Last week in East and Southeast Asia, the Myanmar military carried out airstrikes in Kayah and Kayin states, as well as in the Sagaing region. North Korea conducted two new missile tests.…
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