Michael Sata won the presidency of Zambia in 2011 when his Patriotic Front (PF) unseated the ruling Movement for Multiparty Democracy which had held power for 20 years. Since assuming the presidency, Sata has been repeatedly accused of sponsoring political militias to silence and attack civilian opponents.…
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Both conflict events and reported fatalities increased in Kenya this month, with the most intense violence associated with an attack on civilians in Witu, Lamu island, in Kenya’s Coastal region. The attack incorporates several key complex dynamics in contemporary Kenyan political violence, each of which is worth unpacking in turn.…
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After a cursory look at the Fund for Peace’s (hereafter FFP) 2014 fragile state rankings, @ACLEDInfo mentioned on twitter that the metrics were ‘questionable’. We suggested index’s rankings of fragility bear little relationship to reality.…
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Conflict event levels actually fell in Kenya in May, in spite of the high profile attacks which drew international attention, while reported fatalities increased, pointing to the intensification of violence in the country.…
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Conflict levels fell in CAR in May (see Figure 2), and several changes to the conflict in CAR represent the beginning of a new phase: first, the government continues to have little to no role in what is occurring within the state, or indeed – as the attacks in Bangui last week attest – government forces have little to no control in the capital.…
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The escalating security crisis in northern Nigeria has drawn international attention in recent weeks. ACLED has received a number of requests for data on the activity of Boko Haram, and has compiled here some resources for researchers, journalists and other practitioners.…
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Caitriona Dowd has put together a fascinating comparison of Boko Haram and LRA. Both are ‘non-traditional’ political violence threats, and exhibit common traits which may come to characterize many groups across African states.…
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Below are several links and pieces that help to explain the current situation in South Sudan by reviewing the violence that has occurred across the state (and in particular Jonglei) since Independence.…
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Many wonder how the current crisis in the Central African Republic has come about. In the visualization below, we see that (most recently) the former president Bozize’s call for elections began a process of peace negotiation with various rebel groups and those groups then re-organizing into the Seleka rebels.…
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