Cabo Ligado Weekly: 8-14 June 2020

Download Report By the Numbers: Cabo Delgado, October 2017-June 2020 Total number of organized violence events: 456 Total number of reported fatalities from organized violence: 1,271 Total number of reported fatalities from civilian targeting: 821 All ACLED data are available for download via the data export tool, and a…

Cabo Ligado Weekly: 1-7 June 2020

Download Report By the Numbers: Cabo Delgado, October 2017-June 2020 Total number of organized violence events: 433 Total number of reported fatalities from organized violence: 1,222 Total number of reported fatalities from civilian targeting: 797 All ACLED data are available for download via the data export tool, and a…

Everlasting or Ever-Changing? Violence Along the Kyrgyzstan-Tajikistan Border

In the volatile region of the Ferghana valley, where the borders of Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan converge (see map below), violent confrontations between locals and state forces have been a longstanding concern. Disputes between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are particularly frequent as almost half of the 971-kilometer-long border territory remains contested, creating challenges for local populations…

Cabo Ligado Weekly: 25-31 May 2020

Download Report Situation Summary: 25-31 May  The insurgency in Cabo Delgado came roaring back to life last week after a short lull, with insurgents forcing government forces from the district capital of Macomia on 28 May. That attack, which killed at least 17 civilians and five members of the Mozambican police Rapid Intervention Unit and…

Central America and COVID-19: The Pandemic’s Impact on Gang Violence

The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the socio-economic and political landscape in Central America – again revealing the degree to which criminal actors are intertwined with local, national, regional, and even global economies. New restrictions on mobility and business activity have forced gangs and cartels to adapt, with major consequences for security and stability. ACLED data…

Cabo Ligado Weekly: 18-24 May 2020

Situation Summary: 18-24 May Last week saw a lull in insurgent attacks, with only three attacks reported, none resulting in any civilian fatalities. Insurgents burned homes and a fuel station in Mussomero and Namirumo, both in Quissanga district, on 20 May. Both Mussomero and Namirumo were largely deserted when the attacks took place. In Macomia…

The US-Taliban Peace Deal: 10 Weeks On

On 29 February 2020, the United States and the Taliban signed a peace deal in Doha, Qatar, after more than 18 years of conflict. The agreement contained four main provisions (US Department of State, 29 February 2020): 1) Halt attacks against the US: The Taliban provided guarantees that it “will prevent the use of the…

State Atrocities in the Sahel: The Impetus for Counterinsurgency Results is Fueling Government Attacks on Civilians

After eight years of conflict in the Sahel, the international community remains primarily focused on the two main jihadi militant groups driving the sub-regional insurgency in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger: the Al Qaeda-affiliated Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (ISGS). The reality on the ground is far…

Cabo Ligado Weekly: 10-17 May 2020

Overview of Insurgency The Cabo Delgado insurgency combines extremist religious influences with local political grievances to create a potent threat to Mozambican state control over much of the province. Cabo Delgado is characterized by widespread socio-economic deprivation, but poverty was even more acute in neighboring provinces Nampula and Niassa just before the start of the…